Pippi - painless parsing, post-processing and plotting of posterior and likelihood samples

Interpreting samples from likelihood or posterior probability density functions is rarely as straightforward as it seems it should be. Producing publication-quality graphics of these distributions is often similarly painful. In this short note I describe pippi, a simple, publicly-available package for parsing and post-processing such samples, as well as generating high-quality PDF graphics of the results. Pippi is easily and extensively configurable and customisable, both in its options for parsing and post-processing samples, and in the visual aspects of the figures it produces. I illustrate some of these using an existing supersymmetric global fit, performed in the context of a gamma-ray search for dark matter. Pippi can be downloaded and followed at http://github.com/patscott/pippi .Comment: 4 pages, 1 figure. v3: Updated for pippi 2.0. New features include hdf5 support, out-of-core processing, inline post-processing with arbitrary Python code in the input file, and observable-specific data cuts. Pippi can be downloaded from http://github.com/patscott/pipp

The landscape, the swampland and the era of precision cosmology

We review the advanced version of the KKLT construction and pure d=4" role="presentation" style="display: inline; line-height: normal; font-size: 13.6px; overflow-wrap: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; direction: ltr; max-width: none; max-height: none; min-width: 0px; min-height: 0px; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, verdana, sans-serif; position: relative;">=4d=4 de Sitter supergravity, involving a nilpotent multiplet, with regard to various conjectures that de Sitter state cannot exist in string theory. We explain why we consider these conjectures problematic and not well motivated, and why the recently proposed alternative string theory models of dark energy, ignoring vacuum stabilization, are ruled out by cosmological observations at least at the 3σ" role="presentation" style="display: inline; line-height: normal; font-size: 13.6px; overflow-wrap: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; direction: ltr; max-width: none; max-height: none; min-width: 0px; min-height: 0px; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, verdana, sans-serif; position: relative;">33σ level, i.e. with more than 99.7%" role="presentation" style="display: inline; line-height: normal; font-size: 13.6px; overflow-wrap: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: none; direction: ltr; max-width: none; max-height: none; min-width: 0px; min-height: 0px; border-width: 0px; border-style: initial; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, verdana, sans-serif; position: relative;">99.7 .7%confidence

Planck 2018 results: IX. Constraints on primordial non-Gaussianity

Theoretical Physic

Planck 2018 results: X. Constraints on inflation

Theoretical Physic

Planck 2018 results: XI. Polarized dust foregrounds

Theoretical Physic

Planck 2018 results: II. Low frequency instrument data processing

Theoretical Physic

What can(not) be measured with ton-scale dark matter direct detection experiments

Direct searches for dark matter have prompted in recent years a great deal of excitement within the astroparticle physics community, but the compatibility between signal claims and null results of different experiments is far from being a settled issue. In this context, we study here the prospects for constraining the dark matter parameter space with the next generation of ton-scale detectors. Using realistic experimental capabilities for a wide range of targets (including fluorine, sodium, argon, germanium, iodine and xenon), the role of target complementarity is analysed in detail while including the impact of astrophysical uncertainties in a self-consistent manner. We show explicitly that a multi-target signal in future direct detection facilities can determine the sign of the ratio of scalar couplings $f_n/f_p$, but not its scale. This implies that the scalar-proton cross-section is left essentially unconstrained if the assumption $f_p\sim f_n$ is relaxed. Instead, we find that both the axial-proton cross-section and the ratio of axial couplings $a_n/a_p$ can be measured with fair accuracy if multi-ton instruments using sodium and iodine will eventually come online. Moreover, it turns out that future direct detection data can easily discriminate between elastic and inelastic scatterings. Finally, we argue that, with weak assumptions regarding the WIMP couplings and the astrophysics, only the dark matter mass and the inelastic parameter (i.e. mass splitting) may be inferred from the recoil spectra -- specifically, we anticipate an accuracy of tens of GeV (tens of keV) in the measurement of the dark matter mass (inelastic parameter).Comment: 31 pages, 7 figures, 7 table

Integrated model for flood forecasting and river inundation in Taiwan

This is the author accepted manuscriptRoyal Societ